Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 11 NOVEMBER MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Great Guy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Spanish Fort 5 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 53 56 53 +0 2 Stay The Course 4 54.0 2 1.25 9.0 60 42 50 -10 3 Great Guy 5 52.0 3 2.00 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Psychedelic Eric 3 56.0 4 2.10 7.5 64 49 54 -10 5 Russian Empire 5 57.5 5 3.60 0.0 77 67 67 -10 6 High Legislation 3 57.0 6 3.85 7.5 66 51 56 -10 7 Kingston Rock 6 52.0 7 4.60 0.0 55 56 56 +1 8 Travel Master 4 56.0 8 4.65 9.0 64 46 54 -10 9 The Carpenter 8 52.0 9 5.90 0.0 46 56 56 +10 10 Madame Patrice 5 52.5 10 5.95 0.0 48 57 57 +9 11 Space Race 4 58.5 11 7.45 9.0 72 51 62 -10 12 Blindlove 3 54.0 12 12.95 7.5 60 45 50 -10 13 Flower's Ridge 3 55.5 13 99.99 7.5 63 48 53 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spanish Fort | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Stay The Course | 60 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Great Guy Line | 56 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Psychedelic Eric | 64 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Russian Empire | 77 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | High Legislation | 66 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kingston Rock | 55 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Travel Master | 64 | 65 | 54 | +11 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | The Carpenter | 46 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Madame Patrice | 48 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Space Race | 72 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Blindlove | 60 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 13 | Flower's Ridge | 63 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points