Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Winter Air
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Running Rifles       3    62.0    1    0.00     6.0   78    75           78    +0
2    Max The Otter        2    60.0    2    1.00     0.0   86    87           87    +1
3    Winter Air           3    57.0    3    1.75     6.0   68    68           68    +0
4    Tizona               3    61.0    4    1.95     6.0   76    76           76    +0
5    Cheeky Laddie        5    57.5    5    2.25     0.0   81    81           81    +0
6    Radames              5    54.5    6    4.50     0.0   63    72           72    +9
7    William The First    2    55.5    7    4.55     0.0   77    74           74    -3
8    Path Of Choice       5    60.5    8    5.05     0.0   75    84           84    +9
9    Masterful Guy        3    55.5    9    6.05     6.0   65    62           62    -3
10   Jewlray              3    57.0    10   6.45     6.0   68    65           65    -3
11   Major Winter         5    57.5    11   11.95    0.0   69    78           78    +9
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Running Rifles 78 95 78 +17 6.0 -
2 Max The Otter 86 72 87 -15 0.0 -
3 Winter Air Line 68 62 68 -6 6.0
4 Tizona 76 83 76 +7 6.0 -
5 Cheeky Laddie 81 87 81 +6 0.0 -
6 Radames 63 56 72 -16 0.0 -
7 William The First 77 75 74 +1 0.0 -
8 Path Of Choice 75 68 84 -16 0.0 -
9 Masterful Guy 65 58 62 -4 6.0 -
10 Jewlray 68 53 65 -12 6.0 -
11 Major Winter 69 44 78 -34 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points