Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: MODEL MAN MILE (Listed) (For 3 year-olds)
Line Horse
Canadian Summer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 See It Again 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 88 98 94 +6 2 Canadian Summer 2 60.0 2 1.50 0.0 104 104 104 +0 3 Captain Casey 2 58.5 3 2.00 0.0 105 101 101 -4 4 Boundless Bash 2 58.5 4 4.00 0.0 91 99 99 +8 5 Strawberry Bear 2 58.5 5 10.70 0.0 89 98 98 +9 6 Aurora Storm 2 58.5 6 11.60 0.0 87 98 98 +11 7 Future Of Energy 5 58.5 7 18.10 0.0 80 98 98 +18 99 Palm Breeze 3 56.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | See It Again | 88 | 130 | 94 | +36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Canadian Summer Line | 104 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Captain Casey | 105 | 96 | 101 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Boundless Bash | 91 | 92 | 99 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Strawberry Bear | 89 | 106 | 98 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Aurora Storm | 87 | 84 | 98 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Future Of Energy | 80 | 55 | 98 | -43 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Palm Breeze | - | 66 | 79 | -13 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points