Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Political Party
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Political Party      2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   78    78           78    +0
2    Caramel Fudge        3    58.0    2    0.80     7.0   -     68           68    +68
3    Pascali              3    58.0    3    1.30     7.0   -     67           67    +67
4    Arverni King         5    58.0    4    1.45     0.0   82    81           81    -1
5    Zakho                3    58.0    5    3.55     7.0   -     65           65    +65
6    Jazz Festival        5    58.0    6    4.15     0.0   -     79           79    +79
7    Roy's Bolt           3    56.0    7    9.35     7.0   40    60           60    +20
8    Numzaan              2    58.0    8    9.50     0.0   -     78           78    +78
9    Fly Away Robyn       3    56.5    9    13.60    7.0   -     61           61    +61
10   Imperial Bliss       3    58.0    10   15.50    7.0   -     64           64    +64
11   Roy's Off Guard      3    58.0    11   21.00    7.0   -     64           64    +64
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Political Party Line 78 66 78 -12 0.0
2 Caramel Fudge - 53 68 -15 7.0 -
3 Pascali - 68 67 +1 7.0 -
4 Arverni King 82 86 81 +5 0.0 -
5 Zakho - 87 65 +22 7.0 -
6 Jazz Festival - 70 79 -9 0.0 -
7 Roy's Bolt 40 44 60 -16 7.0 -
8 Numzaan - 79 78 +1 0.0 -
9 Fly Away Robyn - 48 61 -13 7.0 -
10 Imperial Bliss - 51 64 -13 7.0 -
11 Roy's Off Guard - - 64 -64 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points