Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL FM 85 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Area Fifty One
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter's Destiny 3 57.5 1 0.00 7.5 80 80 80 +0 2 Area Fifty One 3 59.0 2 3.00 7.5 83 83 83 +0 3 Toto 4 57.5 3 3.80 9.0 80 77 77 -3 4 Imbewu 3 56.0 4 5.10 7.5 80 77 77 -3 5 Eau De Vie 2 53.5 5 6.20 5.0 87 77 77 -10 6 Maquette 3 56.0 6 8.40 7.5 77 77 77 +0 7 Roha 4 59.5 7 8.45 9.0 89 81 81 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter's Destiny | 80 | 86 | 80 | +6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Area Fifty One Line | 83 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 7.5 | ||
| 3 | Toto | 80 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Imbewu | 80 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Eau De Vie | 87 | 50 | 77 | -27 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Maquette | 77 | 91 | 77 | +14 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Roha | 89 | 89 | 81 | +8 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points