Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Lady Serena
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mvulazana            3    58.0    1    0.00     6.0   72    69           72    +0
2    Aisling              3    60.0    2    1.70     6.0   76    76           76    +0
3    Lady Serena          3    59.5    3    2.10     6.0   75    75           75    +0
4    Arctic Princess      5    57.0    4    3.40     0.0   70    80           80    +10
5    Magna Mater          3    57.0    5    4.60     6.0   73    67           67    -6
6    Quanabi              2    54.5    6    4.85     0.0   77    74           74    -3
7    Shipholia            5    53.5    7    4.90     0.0   75    72           72    -3
8    Lady Macbeth         3    58.5    8    5.90     6.0   73    70           70    -3
9    Star Choice          5    58.0    9    6.40     0.0   72    81           81    +9
10   Conchita             4    58.0    10   6.90     3.5   72    74           74    +2
11   Bella Bandiera       2    52.0    11   14.10    0.0   80    69           70    -10
99   Girl Of Tregunter    2    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Spirited Flight      5    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mvulazana 72 82 72 +10 6.0 -
2 Aisling 76 66 76 -10 6.0 -
3 Lady Serena Line 75 80 75 +5 6.0
4 Arctic Princess 70 66 80 -14 0.0 -
5 Magna Mater 73 62 67 -5 6.0 -
6 Quanabi 77 70 74 -4 0.0 -
7 Shipholia 75 104 72 +32 0.0 -
8 Lady Macbeth 73 68 70 -2 6.0 -
9 Star Choice 72 77 81 -4 0.0 -
10 Conchita 72 56 74 -18 3.5 -
11 Bella Bandiera 80 75 70 +5 0.0 -
99 Girl Of Tregunter - 63 75 -12 0.0 -
99 Spirited Flight - 61 73 -12 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points