Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: TERRA DEL CAPO FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Winter Mosaic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Furi 4 57.5 1 0.00 6.0 79 84 79 +0 2 Winter Mosaic 3 60.5 2 2.50 5.0 92 92 92 +0 3 Magnetic Dime 4 54.0 3 3.40 6.0 72 77 77 +5 4 La Folie Douce 3 58.0 4 3.50 5.0 87 87 87 +0 5 Sonic Burst 4 60.0 5 3.75 6.0 84 89 89 +5 6 L'Ami Jean 4 53.0 6 5.00 6.0 70 75 75 +5 7 Polar World 3 56.5 7 5.75 5.0 84 84 84 +0 8 Bye Bye Bombshell 3 54.5 8 6.00 5.0 85 80 80 -5 9 Do Si Do 3 50.5 9 7.25 5.0 73 72 72 -1 10 Area Fifty One 3 60.5 10 8.00 5.0 92 92 92 +0 11 Quick Breeze 3 58.5 11 10.25 5.0 88 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Furi | 79 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Mosaic Line | 92 | 94 | 92 | +2 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Magnetic Dime | 72 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | La Folie Douce | 87 | 88 | 87 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sonic Burst | 84 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | L'Ami Jean | 70 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Polar World | 84 | 70 | 84 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bye Bye Bombshell | 85 | 93 | 80 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Do Si Do | 73 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Area Fifty One | 92 | 78 | 92 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Quick Breeze | 88 | 79 | 88 | -9 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points