Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BET WITH TAB MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Hawk Circle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Holy Orders 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 77 79 79 +2 2 Stratospheric 2 60.0 2 3.50 0.0 85 88 88 +3 3 Hawk Circle 2 54.5 3 3.80 0.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Carriacou 3 57.0 4 4.80 6.0 79 69 69 -10 5 Sudden Song 3 58.0 5 5.10 6.0 69 71 71 +2 6 Lockheedlightning 2 55.5 6 5.30 0.0 76 78 78 +2 7 Promettere 5 58.0 7 5.80 0.0 - 83 83 +83 8 Coronation Time 2 52.0 8 5.90 0.0 69 71 71 +2 9 Global Speed 3 58.0 9 7.40 6.0 - 71 71 +71 10 Rogue Male 3 52.0 10 7.90 6.0 48 59 59 +11 11 Mr Winter 2 51.5 11 8.65 0.0 68 70 70 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holy Orders | 77 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Stratospheric | 85 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hawk Circle Line | 77 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Carriacou | 79 | 78 | 69 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sudden Song | 69 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lockheedlightning | 76 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Promettere | - | 98 | 83 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Coronation Time | 69 | 80 | 71 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Global Speed | - | 52 | 71 | -19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rogue Male | 48 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mr Winter | 68 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points