Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Flirty Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Sea Goddess          3    57.0    1    0.00     8.0   -     64           6     +6
2    If You Say So        3    60.0    2    1.10     8.0   58    76           76    +18
3    Flirty Dancer        3    57.0    3    2.00     8.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Salient Point        4    60.0    4    2.50     4.5   -     81           81    +81
5    La Dreamer           3    60.0    5    5.60     8.0   48    70           70    +22
6    Guten Tag            2    57.0    6    7.60     0.0   67    80           80    +13
99   Classical Chord      2    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Critical Thinking    3    57.5    99   0.00     8.0   -     65           65    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sea Goddess - 80 6 +74 8.0 -
2 If You Say So 58 57 76 -19 8.0 -
3 Flirty Dancer Line 69 66 69 -3 8.0
4 Salient Point - 60 81 -21 4.5 -
5 La Dreamer 48 48 70 -22 8.0 -
6 Guten Tag 67 62 80 -18 0.0 -
99 Classical Chord - 58 75 -17 0.0 -
99 Critical Thinking - 39 65 -26 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points