Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Straight Up
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Syx Hotfix 3 59.5 1 0.00 8.0 74 53 74 +0 2 Straight Up 5 60.5 2 0.90 0.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Bend The Rules 3 58.0 3 1.20 8.0 71 54 61 -10 4 Caesura 6 59.5 4 1.30 0.0 73 72 72 -1 5 Coromandel 4 53.0 5 2.60 4.5 60 49 50 -10 6 High Green 7 51.5 6 3.00 0.0 62 55 55 -7 7 In Auro 5 60.5 7 4.50 0.0 75 71 71 -4 8 Oh My Word Its Roy 3 52.5 8 4.75 8.0 49 39 39 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syx Hotfix | 74 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Straight Up Line | 75 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Bend The Rules | 71 | 74 | 61 | +13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Caesura | 73 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Coromandel | 60 | 59 | 50 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | High Green | 62 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | In Auro | 75 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Oh My Word Its Roy | 49 | 50 | 39 | +11 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points