Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Winter Journey
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Hatta                4    48.0    1    0.00     9.0   52    41           52    +0
2    Winter Journey       3    57.0    2    0.80     7.5   62    62           62    +0
3    Shaken Not Stirred   4    52.0    3    2.10     9.0   51    49           49    -2
4    Queen Mercury        4    55.0    4    2.35     9.0   57    55           55    -2
5    Birdwatcher          5    56.0    5    3.55     0.0   60    75           75    +15
6    Vision Of Will       3    57.0    6    3.80     7.5   62    62           62    +0
7    Run Again            3    58.5    7    4.50     7.5   65    65           65    +0
8    Gimme A Lullaby      3    54.0    8    6.30     7.5   56    56           56    +0
9    Blush Of Dawn        8    60.5    9    6.35     0.0   69    84           84    +15
10   Snow Tune            3    58.0    10   7.75     7.5   67    64           64    -3
11   Cape Diamond         4    52.0    11   12.25    9.0   51    49           49    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Hatta 52 59 52 +7 9.0 -
2 Winter Journey Line 62 50 62 -12 7.5
3 Shaken Not Stirred 51 55 49 +6 9.0 -
4 Queen Mercury 57 56 55 +1 9.0 -
5 Birdwatcher 60 53 75 -22 0.0 -
6 Vision Of Will 62 66 62 +4 7.5 -
7 Run Again 65 48 65 -17 7.5 -
8 Gimme A Lullaby 56 59 56 +3 7.5 -
9 Blush Of Dawn 69 64 84 -20 0.0 -
10 Snow Tune 67 65 64 +1 7.5 -
11 Cape Diamond 51 50 49 +1 9.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points