Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Warbonnet Creek (IRE)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Treaty 2 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 58 53 53 -5 2 Godfather 2 58.0 2 3.00 0.0 65 61 61 -4 3 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 60.0 3 3.10 4.0 57 57 57 +0 4 Robert Burns 3 60.0 4 3.75 7.0 68 50 58 -10 5 Lorna Lilly 3 55.0 5 6.75 7.0 - 39 39 +39 6 Pembroke 3 58.0 6 7.75 7.0 - 45 45 +45 7 Carnelo 6 60.0 7 8.00 0.0 61 63 63 +2 8 Kanimambo 5 58.0 8 13.50 0.0 - 59 59 +59 9 Thermopylae 2 58.0 9 15.00 0.0 78 59 68 -10 10 Tyger Fly 4 60.0 10 15.75 4.0 61 55 55 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treaty | 58 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Godfather | 65 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) Line | 57 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Robert Burns | 68 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lorna Lilly | - | 50 | 39 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pembroke | - | 79 | 45 | +34 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Carnelo | 61 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kanimambo | - | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Thermopylae | 78 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tyger Fly | 61 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points