Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 17 NOVEMBER WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
VAAL RACECOURSE | Tuesday, 15 November 2022 | 16:25
Distance:
1450m
Going:
Yielding
Stakes:
R90,000
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Tree Fairy | 3 b. f | 58.0kg | 2 | Mr T J Mayhew | - | - | 54 | 14/1 |
| 1st | Nyali Beach | 2 b. f | 58.0kg | 1 | Mr A Feni | - | - | 70 | 9/4 |
| 2nd | Last Wild One | 3 b. f | 58.0kg | 2 | Mr C Mabaya | 0.25 | - | 78 | 10/1 |
| 3rd | Memorial Day TF | 2 b. f | 58.0kg | 5 | Mr P Mongqawa | 2.0 | 75 | 49 | 2/1 |
| 4 | I Am Who I Am | 2 ch. f | 58.0kg | 8 | Mr S Mosia | 5.5 | 66 | 64 | 14/1 |
| 5 | London Paladium | 3 b. f | 58.0kg | 3 | Mr B Mlangeni | 6.25 | - | 59 | 33/1 |
| 6 | Lady Zultanite | 3 b. f | 58.0kg | 10 | Mr T Ncume | 6.75 | - | 66 | 50/1 |
| 7 | Elusive Fire | 4 b. f | 60.0kg | 6 | Mr T Matsoele | 7.0 | - | 63 | 50/1 |
| 8 | Alice May | 3 ch. f | 58.0kg | 11 | Mr J Gwingwizha | 9.0 | - | 60 | 8/1 |
| 9 | Rowins Dream | 5 b. m | 58.0kg | 4 | Mr Z I Lukhele | 11.25 | 63 | 48 | 16/1 |
| 10 | Queen Theodora | 4 b. f | 60.0kg | 7 | Mr T Lukhele | 11.75 | 63 | 56 | 20/1 |
| 11 | Alabama Storm | 2 ch. f | 58.0kg | 13 | Mr W A van Staden | 12.25 | - | 47 | 100/1 |
| 12 | Raising A Storm | 4 ch. f | 60.0kg | 9 | Mr Denver Botha | 31.0 | 50 | 43 | 50/1 |
| 13 | Mapule | 2 b. f | 58.0kg | 12 | Mr S Mthembu | 32.0 | 50 | 49 | 100/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
88.98s
Average Time
88.81s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R720,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyali Beach | 1 | - | 70 | - | + 30 | - |
| Last Wild One | 2 | - | 78 | - | + 20 | - |
| Memorial Day | 3 | 75 | 49 | -1 | -25 | |
| I Am Who I Am | 4 | 66 | 64 | -2 | ||
| London Paladium | 5 | - | 59 | - | 0 | - |
| Lady Zultanite | 6 | - | 66 | - | -2 | - |
| Elusive Fire | 7 | - | 63 | - | -4 | - |
| Alice May | 8 | - | 60 | - | -6 | - |
| Rowins Dream | 9 | 63 | 48 | -4 | -11 | |
| Queen Theodora | 10 | 63 | 56 | -4 | -3 | |
| Alabama Storm | 11 | - | 47 | - | -12 | - |
| Raising A Storm | 12 | 50 | 43 | -10 | + 3 | |
| Mapule | 13 | 50 | 49 | -10 | + 9 | |
| Tree Fairy | None | - | 54 | - | -188 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.