Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Incredibill
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Innamorare           5    61.0    1    0.00     0.0   90    85           90    +0
2    Street Art           3    56.5    2    0.20     7.0   81    62           71    -10
3    Incredibill          3    57.5    3    0.50     7.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Faire Advantage      3    62.0    4    0.60     7.0   78    78           78    +0
5    Without Question     5    58.0    5    1.10     0.0   84    83           83    -1
6    Napoleon             3    59.0    6    1.50     7.0   72    70           70    -2
7    Blackberry Malt      5    59.0    7    1.55     0.0   86    84           84    -2
8    Canford Lights       2    57.5    8    3.55     0.0   83    79           79    -4
9    Matsuyamo            2    56.5    9    3.85     0.0   81    77           77    -4
10   Douglas              4    52.0    10   4.85     4.0   56    59           59    +3
11   Radames              5    53.5    11   7.10     0.0   61    70           70    +9
12   Major Winter         5    55.5    12   10.35    0.0   65    74           74    +9
13   Letaba               6    60.0    13   10.40    0.0   74    83           83    +9
99   Narina Trogon        5    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     83           83    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Innamorare 90 91 90 +1 0.0 -
2 Street Art 81 78 71 +7 7.0 -
3 Incredibill Line 69 70 69 +1 7.0
4 Faire Advantage 78 71 78 -7 7.0 -
5 Without Question 84 111 83 +28 0.0 -
6 Napoleon 72 72 70 +2 7.0 -
7 Blackberry Malt 86 82 84 -2 0.0 -
8 Canford Lights 83 80 79 +1 0.0 -
9 Matsuyamo 81 78 77 +1 0.0 -
10 Douglas 56 52 59 -7 4.0 -
11 Radames 61 56 70 -14 0.0 -
12 Major Winter 65 44 74 -30 0.0 -
13 Letaba 74 73 83 -10 0.0 -
99 Narina Trogon - 102 83 +19 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points