Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: HOLLYWOODBETS GROOMS INITIATIVE MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Global Ally
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Navy Strength 3 57.0 1 0.00 8.0 85 67 85 +0 2 The Futurist 3 58.0 2 2.00 8.0 87 74 77 -10 3 Global Ally 6 54.5 3 4.25 0.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Royal Watch 4 56.5 4 4.55 4.5 83 74 74 -9 5 Bayview Express 5 53.0 5 4.75 0.0 76 75 75 -1 6 Dubai Lights 4 57.5 6 5.25 4.5 85 75 75 -10 7 Millahue 3 55.0 7 5.45 8.0 81 63 71 -10 8 Silent War 3 54.5 8 7.45 8.0 79 62 69 -10 9 I Want It All 3 60.0 9 7.95 8.0 91 73 81 -10 10 Galactic Path 3 53.5 10 10.20 8.0 78 60 68 -10 11 Dowser 5 53.0 11 16.95 0.0 92 75 82 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy Strength | 85 | 97 | 85 | +12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Futurist | 87 | 104 | 77 | +27 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Global Ally Line | 80 | 97 | 80 | +17 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Royal Watch | 83 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Bayview Express | 76 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dubai Lights | 85 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Millahue | 81 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silent War | 79 | 91 | 69 | +22 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | I Want It All | 91 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Galactic Path | 78 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dowser | 92 | 84 | 82 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points