Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Double Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Shantastic           2    58.0    1    0.00     5.0   80    75           80    +0
2    Veronique            6    52.5    2    0.75     0.0   59    74           74    +15
3    Double Dream         3    58.0    3    2.00     7.5   70    70           70    +0
4    Fur Baby             2    59.5    4    2.75     5.0   83    78           78    -5
5    Copper View          2    59.5    5    2.80     5.0   83    78           78    -5
6    Red Sash             5    58.5    6    3.30     0.0   81    86           86    +5
7    Fly To Rio           4    52.0    7    4.55     9.0   57    55           55    -2
8    Apollo Moon          3    57.5    8    5.05     7.5   69    69           69    +0
9    Alittlebitnaughty    4    58.0    9    5.55     9.0   70    67           67    -3
10   Camille Claudel      2    59.0    10   7.30     5.0   82    77           77    -5
11   I'll Slip Away       2    56.5    11   8.05     5.0   76    72           72    -4
12   Country Time         5    57.0    12   8.35     0.0   78    83           83    +5
13   Say Yes              2    61.0    13   17.35    5.0   86    81           81    -5
99   Epsom Girl           2    62.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     83           83    +0
99   Demelza              3    56.0    99   0.00     7.5   -     66           66    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Shantastic 80 109 80 +29 5.0 -
2 Veronique 59 56 74 -18 0.0 -
3 Double Dream Line 70 71 70 +1 7.5
4 Fur Baby 83 64 78 -14 5.0 -
5 Copper View 83 76 78 -2 5.0 -
6 Red Sash 81 101 86 +15 0.0 -
7 Fly To Rio 57 54 55 -1 9.0 -
8 Apollo Moon 69 63 69 -6 7.5 -
9 Alittlebitnaughty 70 62 67 -5 9.0 -
10 Camille Claudel 82 69 77 -8 5.0 -
11 I'll Slip Away 76 51 72 -21 5.0 -
12 Country Time 78 62 83 -21 0.0 -
13 Say Yes 86 90 81 +9 5.0 -
99 Epsom Girl - 88 83 +5 5.0 -
99 Demelza - 66 66 ✓ Match 7.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points