Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAB 4RACING APP MR 95 OPEN HANDICAP (3 years old) (3 year olds)
Line Horse
Rule By Force
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tsar Bomba 3 56.5 1 0.00 7.0 88 86 88 +0 2 Rule By Force 3 53.5 2 3.25 7.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Just Eminent 3 52.5 3 3.35 7.0 75 79 79 +4 4 Mescal 2 52.0 4 4.00 0.0 76 92 92 +16 5 Star Coin 5 56.5 5 5.75 0.0 88 100 100 +12 6 Samthewiseman 5 52.0 6 6.00 0.0 72 91 91 +19 7 Acorn 2 58.0 7 7.00 0.0 91 103 103 +12 8 A Colourful Past 2 52.0 8 12.00 0.0 74 91 91 +17 99 Kalahari Blue 2 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 94 94 +0 99 Ridgerunner 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 104 104 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tsar Bomba | 88 | 91 | 88 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rule By Force Line | 82 | 117 | 82 | +35 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Just Eminent | 75 | 60 | 79 | -19 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mescal | 76 | 64 | 92 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Star Coin | 88 | 78 | 100 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Samthewiseman | 72 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Acorn | 91 | 89 | 103 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | A Colourful Past | 74 | 66 | 91 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kalahari Blue | - | 75 | 94 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ridgerunner | - | 90 | 104 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points