Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BETWAY SUMMER CUP 26 NOVEMBER MR 80 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Southern Blaze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eye Of The Prophet 2 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 75 81 +0 2 Tirpitz 6 56.5 2 1.50 0.0 73 87 87 +14 3 Southern Blaze 3 55.5 3 2.00 7.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Duke Of Rain 3 56.5 4 2.50 7.0 73 72 72 -1 5 Brenden James 6 57.5 5 4.50 0.0 75 86 86 +11 6 Electric Gold 5 59.0 6 5.00 0.0 92 89 89 -3 7 Tabebuia 3 60.0 7 5.75 7.0 80 77 77 -3 8 Flying Grace 4 56.0 8 6.50 4.0 75 75 75 +0 9 Oyster King 5 54.5 9 23.00 0.0 69 80 80 +11 99 Just A Memory 3 53.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Sequoia 6 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eye Of The Prophet | 81 | 108 | 81 | +27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tirpitz | 73 | 82 | 87 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Southern Blaze Line | 71 | 89 | 71 | +18 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Duke Of Rain | 73 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Brenden James | 75 | 98 | 86 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Electric Gold | 92 | 96 | 89 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tabebuia | 80 | 94 | 77 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flying Grace | 75 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Oyster King | 69 | 50 | 80 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Just A Memory | - | 67 | 64 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sequoia | - | 99 | 82 | +17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points