Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 71 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Rise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Twice Golden         5    51.0    1    0.00     0.0   61    58           61    +0
2    Paris Pike           2    56.5    2    5.60     0.0   80    69           70    -10
3    Rise                 5    56.5    3    6.40     0.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Hinckley             3    55.5    4    7.50     8.0   63    51           53    -10
5    Blue Planet          5    60.5    5    8.90     0.0   72    77           77    +5
6    Master Tobe          5    58.5    6    9.80     0.0   68    73           73    +5
7    Space News           4    53.5    7    15.70    4.5   58    54           54    -4
8    Living Waters        5    56.0    8    15.75    0.0   63    68           68    +5
9    Teichman             5    56.0    9    17.55    0.0   63    68           68    +5
10   Galabier             4    59.0    10   23.55    4.5   69    65           65    -4
11   Billy Bazooka        3    54.0    11   25.15    8.0   65    48           55    -10
99   Gregor Macgregor     4    58.5    99   0.00     4.5   -     64           64    +0
99   Tin Cup              3    58.5    99   0.00     8.0   -     57           57    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Twice Golden 61 84 61 +23 0.0 -
2 Paris Pike 80 83 70 +13 0.0 -
3 Rise Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 0.0
4 Hinckley 63 59 53 +6 8.0 -
5 Blue Planet 72 68 77 -9 0.0 -
6 Master Tobe 68 62 73 -11 0.0 -
7 Space News 58 52 54 -2 4.5 -
8 Living Waters 63 59 68 -9 0.0 -
9 Teichman 63 73 68 +5 0.0 -
10 Galabier 69 64 65 -1 4.5 -
11 Billy Bazooka 65 62 55 +7 8.0 -
99 Gregor Macgregor - 63 64 -1 4.5 -
99 Tin Cup - 74 57 +17 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points