Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 26 NOVEMBER FM 74 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Young Jackie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tulip Tree 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 81 81 +0 2 Asiye Phambili 3 57.5 2 0.25 7.0 83 69 73 -10 3 Young Jackie 3 54.5 3 4.65 7.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Just Be Nice 3 56.0 4 4.85 7.0 66 66 66 +0 5 United Express 2 54.0 5 4.95 0.0 76 76 76 +0 6 Bonnaroo 3 59.0 6 5.35 7.0 72 72 72 +0 7 Madame Vicki 2 54.5 7 6.60 0.0 77 77 77 +0 8 Call The Wind 3 60.0 8 6.90 7.0 74 74 74 +0 9 Big City Girl 4 52.0 9 9.00 4.0 56 64 64 +8 10 Gin And Tonic 3 57.5 10 9.10 7.0 69 69 69 +0 11 Super Secret 2 48.5 11 9.15 0.0 69 65 65 -4 12 Quantum 5 54.5 12 11.40 0.0 77 77 77 +0 99 Permesso Avanti 3 59.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulip Tree | 81 | 96 | 81 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Asiye Phambili | 83 | 119 | 73 | +46 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Young Jackie Line | 63 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Just Be Nice | 66 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | United Express | 76 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bonnaroo | 72 | 84 | 72 | +12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Madame Vicki | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Call The Wind | 74 | 56 | 74 | -18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Big City Girl | 56 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gin And Tonic | 69 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Super Secret | 69 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Quantum | 77 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Permesso Avanti | - | 70 | 73 | -3 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points