Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: BET WITH TAB MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)

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Line Horse
Thefutureisbright
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Thefutureisbright    3    60.0    1    0.00     8.5   92    92           92    +0
2    Over Two You         3    54.0    2    2.00     8.5   78    84           84    +6
3    Guy Alexander        3    50.0    3    6.25     8.5   62    72           72    +10
4    Double Check         3    50.5    4    8.75     8.5   78    73           73    -5
5    Chewbaca             5    62.0    5    8.80     0.0   95    113          113   +18
6    Coup De Main         4    50.0    6    10.05    5.0   67    79           79    +12
7    Piketberg Alley      4    52.0    7    99.99    5.0   75    83           83    +8
99   Dubai Lights         4    58.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     95           95    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Thefutureisbright Line 92 94 92 +2 8.5
2 Over Two You 78 74 84 -10 8.5 -
3 Guy Alexander 62 72 72 ✓ Match 8.5 -
4 Double Check 78 85 73 +12 8.5 -
5 Chewbaca 95 87 113 -26 0.0 -
6 Coup De Main 67 62 79 -17 5.0 -
7 Piketberg Alley 75 63 83 -20 5.0 -
99 Dubai Lights - 77 95 -18 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points