Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Swift Action
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ensuing              2    60.0    1    0.00     5.0   82    77           82    +0
2    Cheeky Laddie        5    59.0    2    0.05     0.0   80    85           85    +5
3    Mr Frostie           4    52.0    3    0.35     9.0   54    53           53    -1
4    Swift Action         3    57.5    4    0.45     7.5   67    67           67    +0
5    Red Impact           2    61.5    5    1.70     5.0   85    80           80    -5
6    Kimball O'Hara       2    59.0    6    3.20     5.0   80    75           75    -5
7    Pashtunwali          6    59.5    7    4.70     0.0   71    86           86    +15
8    Birdie And Bogie     3    58.0    8    5.95     7.5   68    68           68    +0
99   Quandary             5    60.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     88           88    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ensuing 82 87 82 +5 5.0 -
2 Cheeky Laddie 80 87 85 +2 0.0 -
3 Mr Frostie 54 51 53 -2 9.0 -
4 Swift Action Line 67 77 67 +10 7.5
5 Red Impact 85 85 80 +5 5.0 -
6 Kimball O'Hara 80 61 75 -14 5.0 -
7 Pashtunwali 71 58 86 -28 0.0 -
8 Birdie And Bogie 68 68 68 ✓ Match 7.5 -
99 Quandary - 88 88 ✓ Match 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points