Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)
Line Horse
Captain Morne
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Granddaddy Purple 3 56.5 1 0.00 7.5 54 54 54 +0 2 Kind Of Blue 2 57.5 2 0.50 5.0 66 61 61 -5 3 Captain Morne 3 59.0 3 1.75 7.5 59 59 59 +0 4 Magenta 4 53.5 4 1.85 9.0 48 45 45 -3 5 Siberian Fox 2 56.0 5 1.95 5.0 63 58 58 -5 6 Goom Goom 3 58.5 6 2.05 7.5 58 58 58 +0 7 Miss United States 3 53.5 7 4.30 7.5 48 48 48 +0 8 Hamlet 4 57.5 8 5.55 9.0 56 53 53 -3 9 Wonder Woman 6 53.5 9 6.30 0.0 48 63 63 +15 10 Deep Dive 3 52.0 10 13.55 7.5 29 45 45 +16 11 Herewegojo 4 52.0 11 14.30 9.0 42 42 42 +0 99 Uncle George 3 60.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Granddaddy Purple | 54 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kind Of Blue | 66 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Morne Line | 59 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 7.5 | ||
| 4 | Magenta | 48 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Siberian Fox | 63 | 62 | 58 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Goom Goom | 58 | 59 | 58 | +1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Miss United States | 48 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Hamlet | 56 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Wonder Woman | 48 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Deep Dive | 29 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 11 | Herewegojo | 42 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Uncle George | - | 54 | 61 | -7 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points