Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Hatta
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Meredith Grey 2 51.0 1 0.00 5.0 66 67 66 +0 2 Winter Journey 3 56.5 2 0.15 7.5 62 73 73 +11 3 Hatta 4 49.0 3 0.65 9.0 55 55 55 +0 4 Angelic Fort 3 59.0 4 2.05 7.5 67 78 78 +11 5 Grue Of Ice 6 58.5 5 3.10 0.0 66 92 92 +26 6 Shanta's Pride 3 58.5 6 3.60 7.5 76 77 77 +1 7 Kileigh's Fate 4 53.5 7 3.80 9.0 59 64 64 +5 8 Morgan La Fay 2 60.5 8 5.10 5.0 80 86 86 +6 9 Troubadix 3 55.5 9 5.25 7.5 60 71 71 +11 10 Not Now Pussycat 6 55.0 10 7.25 0.0 59 85 85 +26 11 Girl Of Tregunter 2 59.5 11 7.65 5.0 78 84 84 +6 99 Petit Verdot 2 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meredith Grey | 66 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Journey | 62 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Hatta Line | 55 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 9.0 | ||
| 4 | Angelic Fort | 67 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Grue Of Ice | 66 | 53 | 92 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Shanta's Pride | 76 | 88 | 77 | +11 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kileigh's Fate | 59 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Morgan La Fay | 80 | 98 | 86 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Troubadix | 60 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Not Now Pussycat | 59 | 53 | 85 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Girl Of Tregunter | 78 | 63 | 84 | -21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Petit Verdot | - | 75 | 82 | -7 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points