Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Hatta
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Meredith Grey        2    51.0    1    0.00     5.0   66    67           66    +0
2    Winter Journey       3    56.5    2    0.15     7.5   62    73           73    +11
3    Hatta                4    49.0    3    0.65     9.0   55    55           55    +0
4    Angelic Fort         3    59.0    4    2.05     7.5   67    78           78    +11
5    Grue Of Ice          6    58.5    5    3.10     0.0   66    92           92    +26
6    Shanta's Pride       3    58.5    6    3.60     7.5   76    77           77    +1
7    Kileigh's Fate       4    53.5    7    3.80     9.0   59    64           64    +5
8    Morgan La Fay        2    60.5    8    5.10     5.0   80    86           86    +6
9    Troubadix            3    55.5    9    5.25     7.5   60    71           71    +11
10   Not Now Pussycat     6    55.0    10   7.25     0.0   59    85           85    +26
11   Girl Of Tregunter    2    59.5    11   7.65     5.0   78    84           84    +6
99   Petit Verdot         2    58.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Meredith Grey 66 68 66 +2 5.0 -
2 Winter Journey 62 50 73 -23 7.5 -
3 Hatta Line 55 59 55 +4 9.0
4 Angelic Fort 67 50 78 -28 7.5 -
5 Grue Of Ice 66 53 92 -39 0.0 -
6 Shanta's Pride 76 88 77 +11 7.5 -
7 Kileigh's Fate 59 48 64 -16 9.0 -
8 Morgan La Fay 80 98 86 +12 5.0 -
9 Troubadix 60 49 71 -22 7.5 -
10 Not Now Pussycat 59 53 85 -32 0.0 -
11 Girl Of Tregunter 78 63 84 -21 5.0 -
99 Petit Verdot - 75 82 -7 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points