Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fiery Duke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 White Cedar 6 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 63 73 63 +0 2 High Velocity 4 55.0 2 0.15 3.5 54 57 57 +3 3 Fiery Duke 3 58.0 3 2.75 6.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Quiz Master 3 59.0 4 4.25 6.0 62 61 61 -1 5 Get Carter 4 55.0 5 4.55 3.5 54 57 57 +3 6 Global Secret 3 60.5 6 4.80 6.0 65 63 63 -2 7 All The Time 3 57.5 7 4.85 6.0 67 57 57 -10 8 Seattle Beat 4 60.0 8 6.25 3.5 67 67 67 +0 9 Birdwatcher 5 57.5 9 7.75 0.0 59 69 69 +10 10 Son Of Silk 4 60.5 10 8.45 3.5 65 68 68 +3 99 Final Destiny 4 54.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | White Cedar | 63 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | High Velocity | 54 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Fiery Duke Line | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Quiz Master | 62 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Get Carter | 54 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Global Secret | 65 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | All The Time | 67 | 74 | 57 | +17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Seattle Beat | 67 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Birdwatcher | 59 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Son Of Silk | 65 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Final Destiny | - | 50 | 56 | -6 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points