Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Capriccio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Let It Snow          2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   78    64           78    +0
2    Family Favourite     3    59.0    2    1.05     7.0   66    56           56    -10
3    Capriccio            5    53.5    3    4.45     0.0   55    55           55    +0
4    Miss Lialah          4    50.5    4    4.65     4.0   57    41           47    -10
5    Valerias Dream       3    57.5    5    5.40     7.0   77    49           67    -10
6    Cozy Dot Com         5    52.5    6    6.70     0.0   53    53           53    +0
7    Two Minds            3    55.5    7    7.40     7.0   73    45           63    -10
8    Venturous            3    60.0    8    8.60     7.0   68    54           58    -10
9    Miss Gibson          3    56.0    9    11.20    7.0   60    46           50    -10
10   Malcolm's Dream      6    60.0    10   16.70    0.0   68    68           68    +0
99   Feeling Groovy       2    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     57           57    +0
99   Fabulous             2    58.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Let It Snow 78 61 78 -17 0.0 -
2 Family Favourite 66 69 56 +13 7.0 -
3 Capriccio Line 55 55 55 ✓ Match 0.0
4 Miss Lialah 57 65 47 +18 4.0 -
5 Valerias Dream 77 77 67 +10 7.0 -
6 Cozy Dot Com 53 47 53 -6 0.0 -
7 Two Minds 73 52 63 -11 7.0 -
8 Venturous 68 66 58 +8 7.0 -
9 Miss Gibson 60 56 50 +6 7.0 -
10 Malcolm's Dream 68 88 68 +20 0.0 -
99 Feeling Groovy - 60 57 +3 0.0 -
99 Fabulous - 76 64 +12 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points