Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Street's Ahead
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Billy Spellbound 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 65 65 -7 2 Main Mission 2 57.0 2 1.50 0.0 74 68 68 -6 3 Sparkling Jubilee 5 53.5 3 2.00 0.0 - 61 61 +61 4 Street's Ahead 2 53.5 4 6.25 0.0 58 58 58 +0 5 Ngokushesha 3 57.0 5 6.65 8.0 - 49 49 +49 6 Countess Danza 5 53.5 6 7.90 0.0 73 58 63 -10 7 Royal Raphael 3 57.0 7 8.00 8.0 73 49 63 -10 8 Big Five 3 60.0 8 8.20 8.0 57 55 55 -2 9 Skyjet 2 57.0 9 9.45 0.0 72 65 65 -7 10 I Am Who I Am 2 49.5 10 11.20 0.0 68 50 58 -10 11 Scabiosa 2 53.5 11 30.95 0.0 59 58 58 -1 99 London Paladium 3 53.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 42 42 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Spellbound | 72 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Main Mission | 74 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sparkling Jubilee | - | 76 | 61 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Street's Ahead Line | 58 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Ngokushesha | - | 69 | 49 | +20 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Countess Danza | 73 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Royal Raphael | 73 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Big Five | 57 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Skyjet | 72 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | I Am Who I Am | 68 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Scabiosa | 59 | 59 | 58 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | London Paladium | - | 59 | 42 | +17 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points