Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: FURIOUS ROOM NOW OPENED MR 71 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Follow My Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flag Bearer 3 52.0 1 0.00 8.0 64 33 64 +0 2 Follow My Path 5 52.5 2 2.50 0.0 54 54 54 +0 3 Chasing Mavericks 4 57.5 3 4.00 4.5 66 53 56 -10 4 Master Of Coin 3 60.0 4 4.40 8.0 72 50 62 -10 5 Ignatius 2 59.5 5 6.40 0.0 86 64 76 -10 6 Gregor Macgregor 4 58.5 6 7.65 4.5 68 53 58 -10 7 Satoshi 3 56.0 7 9.90 8.0 64 41 54 -10 8 Romeo's Magic 7 59.5 8 10.65 0.0 70 64 64 -6 9 Vengeance Forever 3 58.5 9 10.90 8.0 69 46 59 -10 10 Skyfull 2 52.0 10 11.15 0.0 68 49 58 -10 11 So Long Spring 7 54.5 11 21.40 0.0 60 54 54 -6 99 Wondering Star 3 58.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 45 45 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flag Bearer | 64 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Follow My Path Line | 54 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Chasing Mavericks | 66 | 65 | 56 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Master Of Coin | 72 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ignatius | 86 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gregor Macgregor | 68 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Satoshi | 64 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Romeo's Magic | 70 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Vengeance Forever | 69 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Skyfull | 68 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | So Long Spring | 60 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Wondering Star | - | 67 | 45 | +22 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points