Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Pedro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mount Greylock       4    59.0    1    0.00     9.0   68    53           68    +0
2    Music Is Life        2    61.0    2    0.60     5.0   82    65           72    -10
3    Master Keeku         3    57.0    3    1.50     7.5   64    52           54    -10
4    Pedro                6    54.5    4    1.65     0.0   62    62           62    +0
5    Preemptive Strike    4    57.0    5    3.45     9.0   67    49           57    -10
6    Happy Wanderer       5    54.0    6    4.25     0.0   58    61           61    +3
7    Saipan               5    53.0    7    4.65     0.0   56    59           59    +3
8    Johndunbar           2    60.0    8    9.35     5.0   80    63           70    -10
9    Hampton Court        7    60.0    9    18.35    0.0   70    73           73    +3
99   Two Of Us            6    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mount Greylock 68 71 68 +3 9.0 -
2 Music Is Life 82 71 72 -1 5.0 -
3 Master Keeku 64 62 54 +8 7.5 -
4 Pedro Line 62 72 62 +10 0.0
5 Preemptive Strike 67 70 57 +13 9.0 -
6 Happy Wanderer 58 55 61 -6 0.0 -
7 Saipan 56 52 59 -7 0.0 -
8 Johndunbar 80 80 70 +10 5.0 -
9 Hampton Court 70 70 73 -3 0.0 -
99 Two Of Us - 67 62 +5 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points