Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: BOOK A TABLE CALL 011-681-1796 CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
Mescal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Timbavati River 3 52.5 1 0.00 6.0 58 63 63 +5 2 Mescal 2 58.0 2 2.25 4.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Meet The Captain 4 50.5 3 3.50 7.0 55 57 57 +2 4 Power Ranger 7 54.0 4 3.70 0.0 62 78 78 +16 5 Feather The Nest 4 52.5 5 3.75 7.0 63 61 61 -2 6 Toffas 3 60.0 6 4.50 6.0 73 78 78 +5 7 Life Goes On 7 58.0 7 4.75 0.0 71 86 86 +15 8 Permesso Avanti 3 58.5 8 4.95 6.0 73 75 75 +2 9 Twosidestoastory 3 54.0 9 5.05 6.0 60 66 66 +6 10 Lord Grantham 7 56.0 10 8.30 0.0 64 82 82 +18 11 Musical Kiss 3 50.5 11 8.40 6.0 56 59 59 +3 12 Integrate 3 58.0 12 9.65 6.0 69 74 74 +5 13 Giancarlo 2 48.0 13 17.90 4.0 63 58 58 -5 99 Rose Velvet 2 56.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Dancing Dora 6 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 87 87 +0 99 Cian The Conqueror 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 90 90 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timbavati River | 58 | 79 | 63 | +16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mescal Line | 78 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Meet The Captain | 55 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Power Ranger | 62 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Feather The Nest | 63 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Toffas | 73 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Life Goes On | 71 | 54 | 86 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Permesso Avanti | 73 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Twosidestoastory | 60 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lord Grantham | 64 | 61 | 82 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Musical Kiss | 56 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Integrate | 69 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Giancarlo | 63 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rose Velvet | - | 73 | 75 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dancing Dora | - | 53 | 87 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cian The Conqueror | - | 81 | 90 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points