Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 9 DECEMBER MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cruzador
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Naval Secret 4 60.5 1 0.00 7.0 81 67 81 +0 2 Brass Bell 8 58.0 2 0.25 0.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Cruzador 6 58.5 3 1.25 0.0 77 77 77 +0 4 On The Road Again 3 56.5 4 2.50 6.0 73 61 63 -10 5 Duke Of Orange 3 56.5 5 3.75 6.0 73 61 63 -10 6 Africa's Rock 4 56.5 6 4.00 7.0 76 59 66 -10 7 Coastal Path 5 57.0 7 4.10 0.0 82 74 74 -8 8 Angel Deb's 3 56.5 8 4.60 6.0 73 61 63 -10 9 My Ami Beach 6 54.5 9 4.85 0.0 69 69 69 +0 10 Rock Garden 3 60.0 10 18.10 6.0 80 68 70 -10 11 Jet Mirage 3 58.5 11 21.35 6.0 77 65 67 -10 12 Al Qaasim 4 60.0 12 25.60 7.0 79 66 69 -10 99 Storm Chaser 4 58.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naval Secret | 81 | 91 | 81 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Brass Bell | 76 | 55 | 76 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cruzador Line | 77 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | On The Road Again | 73 | 79 | 63 | +16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Duke Of Orange | 73 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Africa's Rock | 76 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coastal Path | 82 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Angel Deb's | 73 | 78 | 63 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | My Ami Beach | 69 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rock Garden | 80 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Jet Mirage | 77 | 100 | 67 | +33 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Al Qaasim | 79 | 91 | 69 | +22 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Storm Chaser | - | 69 | 63 | +6 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points