Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Spielberg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Umthombo Wolwazi 2 53.5 1 0.00 4.0 75 71 75 +0 2 Herecomestherain 4 60.5 2 0.75 7.0 84 79 79 -5 3 Spielberg 3 59.0 3 3.00 6.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Smith And Wesson 2 55.5 4 3.60 4.0 79 75 75 -4 5 Stormy Seas 4 54.5 5 3.75 7.0 72 67 67 -5 6 Cool Winter 2 56.0 6 6.00 4.0 85 76 76 -9 7 Pendragon 5 53.5 7 6.10 0.0 75 79 79 +4 8 Burning Wings 4 59.0 8 6.40 7.0 78 76 76 -2 9 Bronco Blitz 3 60.5 9 7.10 6.0 81 81 81 +0 10 Double Magic 3 60.0 10 9.50 6.0 80 80 80 +0 11 Frontline Fighter 3 62.0 11 24.00 6.0 84 84 84 +0 99 Arbitrator 2 54.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Captain Dizzy 4 56.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Umthombo Wolwazi | 75 | 91 | 75 | +16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Herecomestherain | 84 | 55 | 79 | -24 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Spielberg Line | 78 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Smith And Wesson | 79 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stormy Seas | 72 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cool Winter | 85 | 78 | 76 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pendragon | 75 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Burning Wings | 78 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bronco Blitz | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Double Magic | 80 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Frontline Fighter | 84 | 82 | 84 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Arbitrator | - | 82 | 73 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Dizzy | - | 96 | 70 | +26 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points