Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 77 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Joshua Hotsnake
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Prince Vihaan 3 55.0 1 0.00 5.0 72 63 72 +0 2 Blackwhitedynamite 3 56.5 2 0.40 5.0 75 71 71 -4 3 Joshua Hotsnake 3 55.5 3 0.90 5.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Patronage 4 59.5 4 1.95 3.0 79 79 79 +0 5 American Dream 3 53.0 5 2.20 5.0 68 62 62 -6 6 Al's My Daddy 5 60.5 6 2.50 0.0 81 86 86 +5 7 Immeasurable 5 55.5 7 3.30 0.0 76 75 75 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prince Vihaan | 72 | 89 | 72 | +17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Blackwhitedynamite | 75 | 86 | 71 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Joshua Hotsnake Line | 68 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Patronage | 79 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | American Dream | 68 | 81 | 62 | +19 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Al's My Daddy | 81 | 70 | 86 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Immeasurable | 76 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points