Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: #DestinationCapeRacing MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Autumn Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coronation Time 2 52.5 1 0.00 0.0 66 65 65 -1 2 Selukwe 3 60.0 2 2.25 6.0 81 71 71 -10 3 Bennelong Point 2 50.0 3 3.00 0.0 60 62 62 +2 4 Autumn Moon 3 55.5 4 3.30 6.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Green Mandarin 5 59.0 5 3.50 0.0 - 79 79 +79 6 Venerable 3 58.5 6 4.00 6.0 66 66 66 +0 7 Hawk Circle 2 58.0 7 4.75 0.0 77 76 76 -1 8 Downing Seven 5 50.5 8 6.00 0.0 60 61 61 +1 9 Heknows 3 55.5 9 6.20 6.0 60 59 59 -1 10 State Of Shock 3 58.5 10 6.70 6.0 66 65 65 -1 11 Admiral's Ransom 3 55.0 11 6.80 6.0 59 58 58 -1 12 Cybotix 2 52.5 12 6.85 0.0 66 65 65 -1 13 Forged Steel 3 51.5 13 9.10 6.0 63 51 53 -10 14 Over And Ice 2 57.0 14 10.35 0.0 75 74 74 -1 15 Pegasus Peak 3 59.0 15 13.35 6.0 - 66 66 +66 16 Master Point 2 56.0 16 14.60 0.0 73 72 72 -1 99 Yzerfontein 2 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coronation Time | 66 | 80 | 65 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Selukwe | 81 | 115 | 71 | +44 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bennelong Point | 60 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Autumn Moon Line | 60 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 6.0 | ||
| 5 | Green Mandarin | - | 83 | 79 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Venerable | 66 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hawk Circle | 77 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Downing Seven | 60 | 69 | 61 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Heknows | 60 | 71 | 59 | +12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | State Of Shock | 66 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Admiral's Ransom | 59 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Cybotix | 66 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Forged Steel | 63 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 14 | Over And Ice | 75 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Pegasus Peak | - | 48 | 66 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 16 | Master Point | 73 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Yzerfontein | - | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points