Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Eye Catching
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Love Is A Rose 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 85 77 85 +0 2 Gold Poker Game 2 61.0 2 0.75 0.0 90 86 86 -4 3 Lady Silvano 5 56.0 3 1.05 0.0 80 76 76 -4 4 Eye Catching 4 52.0 4 3.55 3.5 58 58 58 +0 5 Everglades 3 55.0 5 4.80 7.0 65 56 56 -9 6 Parisienne Girl 3 55.0 6 5.55 7.0 65 56 56 -9 7 Air Of Royalty 3 53.5 7 6.05 7.0 62 53 53 -9 8 Trip To Barberton 2 52.5 8 6.10 0.0 73 65 65 -8 9 Call Me The Breeze 2 53.5 9 6.15 0.0 75 67 67 -8 10 Lucy The Pink 2 52.0 10 7.65 0.0 71 64 64 -7 11 Anmer Hall (AUS) 6 54.0 11 7.75 0.0 62 68 68 +6 12 Official Secret 6 61.5 12 10.25 0.0 78 83 83 +5 13 Umvoti 2 54.5 13 10.35 0.0 77 69 69 -8 99 Future Girl 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Love Is A Rose | 85 | 105 | 85 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gold Poker Game | 90 | 105 | 86 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Silvano | 80 | 104 | 76 | +28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Eye Catching Line | 58 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 3.5 | ||
| 5 | Everglades | 65 | 65 | 56 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Parisienne Girl | 65 | 62 | 56 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Air Of Royalty | 62 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Trip To Barberton | 73 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Call Me The Breeze | 75 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lucy The Pink | 71 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Anmer Hall (AUS) | 62 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Official Secret | 78 | 103 | 83 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Umvoti | 77 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Future Girl | - | 97 | 80 | +17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points