Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TELLYTRACK.COM MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Stranger Danger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Stranger Danger 4 61.0 1 0.00 6.0 97 97 97 +0 2 Inherit The Rain 4 58.5 2 2.25 6.0 95 92 92 -3 3 Evies First 7 60.0 3 2.75 0.0 90 107 107 +17 4 Cruzador 6 56.5 4 3.50 0.0 90 100 100 +10 5 Crown Guardian 6 58.5 5 8.75 0.0 87 104 104 +17 6 Sullenberger 5 63.5 6 11.00 0.0 97 114 114 +17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranger Danger Line | 97 | 93 | 97 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 2 | Inherit The Rain | 95 | 98 | 92 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Evies First | 90 | 100 | 107 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cruzador | 90 | 61 | 100 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Crown Guardian | 87 | 83 | 104 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sullenberger | 97 | 72 | 114 | -42 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points