Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 16 DECEMBER FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
State Of Mind
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rhythm Of The Rain 3 60.5 1 0.00 5.0 67 62 67 +0 2 Global Goddess 3 57.0 2 1.00 5.0 60 59 59 -1 3 State Of Mind 4 58.0 3 4.25 3.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Owlette 4 58.0 4 4.75 3.0 62 61 61 -1 5 Bouquet 2 54.5 5 6.00 0.0 65 60 60 -5 6 Madame Patrice 5 52.0 6 6.25 0.0 48 55 55 +7 7 Flowers Of Nike 2 57.5 7 8.50 0.0 71 66 66 -5 8 Iqembulabesifazane 3 59.0 8 8.55 5.0 64 59 59 -5 9 Space Race 4 60.5 9 17.05 3.0 67 66 66 -1 10 Cape Princess 3 59.0 10 17.15 5.0 64 59 59 -5 11 Aimee's Idol 3 57.5 11 99.99 5.0 71 56 61 -10 99 One Bite At A Time 3 54.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Shesakinda Magic 3 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 53 53 +0 99 Just Power 3 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhythm Of The Rain | 67 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Global Goddess | 60 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | State Of Mind Line | 62 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Owlette | 62 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bouquet | 65 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Madame Patrice | 48 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flowers Of Nike | 71 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Iqembulabesifazane | 64 | 65 | 59 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Space Race | 67 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Cape Princess | 64 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Aimee's Idol | 71 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | One Bite At A Time | - | 52 | 50 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Shesakinda Magic | - | 58 | 53 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Just Power | - | 48 | 54 | -6 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points