Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WSB SUPPORTERS OF SOUTH AFRICAN RACING MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Timbavati River
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Second Breath 2 57.0 1 0.00 4.0 77 70 77 +0 2 Pinch Hit 2 58.0 2 1.75 4.0 76 72 72 -4 3 Timbavati River 3 56.0 3 2.25 6.0 64 64 64 +0 4 In Cahoots 6 58.0 4 2.65 0.0 68 80 80 +12 5 Samoa 10 56.5 5 2.75 0.0 73 77 77 +4 6 Madame Vicki 2 57.0 6 3.10 4.0 74 70 70 -4 7 Coming In Hot 3 58.0 7 5.25 6.0 73 68 68 -5 8 Jet Cat 9 56.5 8 7.00 0.0 65 77 77 +12 9 Gimme The Flame 5 59.0 9 8.50 0.0 78 82 82 +4 10 After Hours 7 55.5 10 24.00 0.0 63 75 75 +12 99 Miss Tango 2 54.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Second Breath | 77 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pinch Hit | 76 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Timbavati River Line | 64 | 79 | 64 | +15 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | In Cahoots | 68 | 54 | 80 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Samoa | 73 | 64 | 77 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Madame Vicki | 74 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coming In Hot | 73 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jet Cat | 65 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gimme The Flame | 78 | 50 | 82 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | After Hours | 63 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Tango | - | 69 | 65 | +4 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points