Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future FM 92 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Pacific Green
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Live My Life 3 54.0 1 0.00 6.0 80 84 80 +0 2 Pacific Green 2 54.5 2 2.50 4.0 89 89 89 +0 3 Symphony Of Light 3 55.0 3 3.00 6.0 82 86 86 +4 4 Distinction 2 55.0 4 4.75 4.0 90 90 90 +0 5 Louis' Diamond 3 55.0 5 5.05 6.0 82 86 86 +4 6 Little Miss Pink 6 54.5 6 5.80 0.0 81 97 97 +16 7 Nippy Winter 3 55.0 7 6.30 6.0 82 86 86 +4 8 Kailene 3 59.5 8 7.30 6.0 94 95 95 +1 8 Island Treasure 3 52.5 8 7.30 6.0 77 81 81 +4 10 Vivacious Spirit 2 56.0 10 7.80 4.0 92 92 92 +0 99 Winter Furi 4 56.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 87 87 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Live My Life | 80 | 114 | 80 | +34 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pacific Green Line | 89 | 91 | 89 | +2 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Symphony Of Light | 82 | 75 | 86 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Distinction | 90 | 97 | 90 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Louis' Diamond | 82 | 58 | 86 | -28 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Little Miss Pink | 81 | 66 | 97 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Nippy Winter | 82 | 66 | 86 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kailene | 94 | 79 | 95 | -16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Island Treasure | 77 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Vivacious Spirit | 92 | 78 | 92 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Winter Furi | - | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points