Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING RACEMEETING FRIDAY 14 JANUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kingston Rock
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Masterful 6 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 62 60 62 +0 2 Dogliotti 6 60.0 2 0.50 0.0 68 71 71 +3 3 Kingston Rock 6 57.5 3 2.50 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Baltic Beat 4 60.5 4 2.60 2.5 69 64 64 -5 5 Sanctity 4 56.0 5 2.85 2.5 60 55 55 -5 6 Red Eight 7 55.5 6 3.10 0.0 58 59 59 +1 7 Curious 5 55.5 7 4.85 0.0 59 57 57 -2 8 Red Bishop 5 55.0 8 5.60 0.0 58 56 56 -2 9 Silver Celebrity 4 53.0 9 6.10 2.5 54 47 47 -7 10 Livingstone 4 48.0 10 7.35 2.5 42 37 37 -5 11 The Gaul 5 53.5 11 16.35 0.0 55 53 53 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masterful | 62 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dogliotti | 68 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Kingston Rock Line | 63 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Baltic Beat | 69 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sanctity | 60 | 61 | 55 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Red Eight | 58 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Curious | 59 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Red Bishop | 58 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Silver Celebrity | 54 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Livingstone | 42 | 40 | 37 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | The Gaul | 55 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points