Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 27 DECEMBER CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
Raratonga Rose
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Raratonga Rose 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 85 85 85 +0 2 Forged By Fire 3 60.0 2 1.00 7.0 70 82 82 +12 3 Flag Bearer 3 56.0 3 2.25 7.0 69 73 73 +4 4 Global Breeze 2 56.0 4 3.00 0.0 74 85 85 +11 5 Gregor Macgregor 4 60.0 5 4.00 3.5 68 85 85 +17 6 Linganomore 3 57.5 6 4.75 7.0 70 71 71 +1 7 The Inkosana 3 51.5 7 5.25 7.0 60 59 59 -1 8 Lady Regent 2 57.5 8 6.50 0.0 82 85 85 +3 9 Mirren 4 57.5 9 6.75 3.5 69 78 78 +9 10 Ideal Future 6 53.5 10 7.75 0.0 63 77 77 +14 11 Vengeance Forever 3 58.0 11 9.50 7.0 67 72 72 +5 12 Golden Tune 5 60.0 12 12.00 0.0 70 90 90 +20 99 Master Of Coin 3 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raratonga Rose Line | 85 | 80 | 85 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Forged By Fire | 70 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flag Bearer | 69 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Global Breeze | 74 | 75 | 85 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gregor Macgregor | 68 | 63 | 85 | -22 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Linganomore | 70 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Inkosana | 60 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lady Regent | 82 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mirren | 69 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Ideal Future | 63 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Vengeance Forever | 67 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Golden Tune | 70 | 68 | 90 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Master Of Coin | - | 72 | 76 | -4 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points