Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets CAPE GUINEAS (Grade 1) (For 3 year-old horses)
Line Horse
Cousin Casey
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Charles Dickens 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 121 114 114 -7 2 Cousin Casey 2 60.0 2 4.25 0.0 115 115 115 +0 3 At My Command 2 60.0 3 4.35 0.0 109 114 114 +5 4 Royal Aussie 2 60.0 4 6.35 0.0 99 114 114 +15 5 Dave The King 2 60.0 5 6.85 0.0 105 114 114 +9 6 Money Heist 2 60.0 6 6.90 0.0 103 114 114 +11 7 Union Square 2 60.0 7 7.65 0.0 116 114 114 -2 8 Le Morne 3 60.0 8 10.40 6.0 105 102 102 -3 9 Shoemaker 2 60.0 9 10.90 0.0 114 114 114 +0 10 Port Louis 2 60.0 10 11.65 0.0 105 114 114 +9 11 Anfields Rocket 5 60.0 11 11.95 0.0 102 114 114 +12 12 Lord William 2 60.0 12 15.95 0.0 100 114 114 +14 13 Street Outlaw 5 60.0 13 17.20 0.0 99 114 114 +15 14 Famous And Rich 2 60.0 14 26.45 0.0 96 114 114 +18 15 Canford Lights 2 60.0 15 26.65 0.0 80 114 114 +34 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Dickens | 121 | 132 | 114 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cousin Casey Line | 115 | 125 | 115 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | At My Command | 109 | 116 | 114 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Royal Aussie | 99 | 120 | 114 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dave The King | 105 | 128 | 114 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Money Heist | 103 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Union Square | 116 | 110 | 114 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Le Morne | 105 | 105 | 102 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shoemaker | 114 | 109 | 114 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Port Louis | 105 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Anfields Rocket | 102 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lord William | 100 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Street Outlaw | 99 | 78 | 114 | -36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Famous And Rich | 96 | 66 | 114 | -48 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Canford Lights | 80 | 80 | 114 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points