Official NHA Assessment

Race 11: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Michael Faraday
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Grinkov              2    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   99    96           99    +0
2    Lion's Head          4    58.0    2    0.05     3.0   86    89           89    +3
3    Michael Faraday      2    53.5    3    1.55     0.0   89    89           89    +0
4    Runaway Song         6    61.0    4    1.95     0.0   92    104          104   +12
5    Triple Time          5    56.0    5    2.05     0.0   94    94           94    +0
6    Keep It Secret       3    59.5    6    2.55     6.0   89    88           88    -1
7    Future Swing         2    52.0    7    2.85     0.0   85    85           85    +0
8    Northern Song        4    59.5    8    3.35     3.0   89    93           93    +4
99   Sugar Mountain       3    61.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     89           89    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Grinkov 99 87 99 -12 0.0 -
2 Lion's Head 86 84 89 -5 3.0 -
3 Michael Faraday Line 89 68 89 -21 0.0
4 Runaway Song 92 98 104 -6 0.0 -
5 Triple Time 94 105 94 +11 0.0 -
6 Keep It Secret 89 80 88 -8 6.0 -
7 Future Swing 85 116 85 +31 0.0 -
8 Northern Song 89 77 93 -16 3.0 -
99 Sugar Mountain - 122 89 +33 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points