Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: INGOBAMAKHOSI CARBINEERS TRUST MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lucia Poppova
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Escapologist 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 65 13 13 -52 2 Mythical Tune 3 60.0 2 1.00 7.0 53 7 43 -10 3 Columbia Road 3 60.0 3 2.50 7.0 46 5 36 -10 4 Girl's World 3 58.0 4 3.70 7.0 - - - +0 5 Lucia Poppova 3 58.0 5 3.75 7.0 - - - +0 6 Adelante 3 58.5 6 4.35 7.0 52 - 47 -5 99 Rosslyne 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 8 8 +0 99 If You Say So 3 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 3 3 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escapologist | 65 | 77 | 13 | +64 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mythical Tune | 53 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Columbia Road | 46 | 54 | 36 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Girl's World | - | 61 | - | +61 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lucia Poppova Line | - | 62 | - | +62 | 7.0 | ||
| 6 | Adelante | 52 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rosslyne | - | 58 | 8 | +50 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | If You Say So | - | 57 | 3 | +54 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points