Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: INGOBAMAKHOSI CARBINEERS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Lazy Guy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Magician 3 60.0 1 0.00 6.0 63 71 69 +6 2 Lazy Guy 4 60.0 2 0.30 7.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Harley Street 3 60.0 3 1.80 6.0 - 71 71 +71 4 Lucky Dollar 2 60.0 4 4.70 4.0 69 75 75 +6 5 Gold Index 3 60.0 5 5.20 6.0 - 71 71 +71 6 Axel Collins 5 60.0 6 5.80 0.0 74 83 83 +9 7 Sea Vista 2 58.5 7 7.80 4.0 - 72 72 +72 8 Blitzen 2 60.0 8 12.10 4.0 45 75 75 +30 9 Terra Sante 3 60.0 9 13.20 6.0 - 71 71 +71 10 Frozen Kingdom 3 60.0 10 19.10 6.0 - 71 71 +71 11 Piste Tune 3 60.0 11 22.10 6.0 - 71 71 +71 99 Majestic Roy 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Magician | 63 | 49 | 69 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lazy Guy Line | 69 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Harley Street | - | 81 | 71 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lucky Dollar | 69 | 85 | 75 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gold Index | - | 53 | 71 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Axel Collins | 74 | 55 | 83 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sea Vista | - | 83 | 72 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blitzen | 45 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Terra Sante | - | 53 | 71 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Frozen Kingdom | - | 46 | 71 | -25 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Piste Tune | - | 52 | 71 | -19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Majestic Roy | - | - | 83 | -83 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points