Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: ELIJAH KAMBULA MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Twice Golden
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rock Fall 2 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 60 73 +0 2 Twice Golden 5 53.5 2 0.70 0.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Tom Bombadil 5 52.5 3 1.10 0.0 60 66 66 +6 4 Space News 4 49.5 4 1.15 4.5 55 51 51 -4 5 Hey Bill 4 53.0 5 1.25 4.5 66 58 58 -8 6 Riccardo 7 52.5 6 1.65 0.0 62 66 66 +4 7 Chelsea Flower 6 57.0 7 2.95 0.0 74 73 73 -1 8 Proud Warrior 5 52.0 8 10.15 0.0 53 60 60 +7 9 Sea Goddess 3 52.0 9 13.25 8.0 73 44 63 -10 99 Blue Planet 5 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Great Affair 7 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Cyber Time 3 58.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rock Fall | 73 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Twice Golden Line | 69 | 84 | 69 | +15 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Tom Bombadil | 60 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Space News | 55 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Hey Bill | 66 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Riccardo | 62 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chelsea Flower | 74 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Proud Warrior | 53 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sea Goddess | 73 | 80 | 63 | +17 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blue Planet | - | 68 | 67 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Great Affair | - | 63 | 78 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cyber Time | - | 81 | 57 | +24 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points