Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WALTER FAIRRALL MR 69 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Philispiel 7 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 63 66 +0 2 Movie Magic 6 53.0 2 1.80 0.0 55 55 55 +0 3 Trafalgar Square 6 60.0 3 3.60 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Quest For The Best 4 49.5 4 3.70 7.0 53 34 43 -10 5 Gunsmoke 3 55.5 5 5.00 6.0 60 48 50 -10 6 Happy Wanderer 5 54.0 6 7.10 0.0 57 57 57 +0 7 Mask On 3 53.0 7 8.80 6.0 63 43 53 -10 8 Ndaka 3 57.5 8 9.50 6.0 64 52 54 -10 99 Captain Dizzy 4 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Beckoning Beauty 4 58.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 52 52 +0 99 Lebanese Pound 2 61.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philispiel | 66 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Movie Magic | 55 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trafalgar Square Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Quest For The Best | 53 | 76 | 43 | +33 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gunsmoke | 60 | 68 | 50 | +18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Happy Wanderer | 57 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mask On | 63 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ndaka | 64 | 61 | 54 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Dizzy | - | 96 | 55 | +41 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Beckoning Beauty | - | 75 | 52 | +23 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lebanese Pound | - | 48 | 63 | -15 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points