Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Shell Seeker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Edvige 3 57.0 1 0.00 5.0 62 59 62 +0 2 Reefway 2 60.0 2 1.10 0.0 78 79 79 +1 3 Shell Seeker 3 57.5 3 2.00 5.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Magna Mater 3 59.0 4 2.40 5.0 66 65 65 -1 5 Hatta 4 52.0 5 2.80 3.0 55 55 55 +0 6 Meredith Grey 2 55.0 6 3.60 0.0 68 66 66 -2 7 Quanabi 2 59.0 7 3.65 0.0 76 74 74 -2 8 Birdwatcher 5 51.5 8 3.70 0.0 56 59 59 +3 9 Shaken Not Stirred 4 52.0 9 5.30 3.0 51 53 53 +2 10 Valerias Dream 3 59.5 10 5.50 5.0 77 64 67 -10 11 Vihzoe's Magic 4 60.0 11 5.80 3.0 68 69 69 +1 12 Mysterious Girl 2 58.5 12 8.60 0.0 75 72 72 -3 13 Kitten's Adventure 3 58.0 13 14.20 5.0 64 61 61 -3 14 Run Again 3 57.5 14 15.00 5.0 63 60 60 -3 99 Girl Of Tregunter 2 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Family Favourite 3 61.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edvige | 62 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Reefway | 78 | 84 | 79 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Shell Seeker Line | 63 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Magna Mater | 66 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Hatta | 55 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Meredith Grey | 68 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Quanabi | 76 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Birdwatcher | 56 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shaken Not Stirred | 51 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Valerias Dream | 77 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Vihzoe's Magic | 68 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mysterious Girl | 75 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Kitten's Adventure | 64 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Run Again | 63 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Girl Of Tregunter | - | 63 | 70 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Family Favourite | - | 69 | 68 | +1 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points