Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 24 DECEMBER FM 75 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Prairie Falcon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quantum 5 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 71 74 +0 2 Que Ceu Azul 2 58.5 2 0.25 0.0 82 79 79 -3 3 Prairie Falcon 3 59.0 3 2.25 5.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Mamaquera 5 56.0 4 2.30 0.0 67 76 76 +9 5 Angel's Wish 6 52.0 5 4.05 0.0 64 67 67 +3 6 Speechmaker 5 54.5 6 4.55 0.0 64 71 71 +7 7 Whatyouwaitingfor 2 60.0 7 6.30 0.0 85 82 82 -3 8 Twice As Wild 6 52.5 8 12.80 0.0 60 67 67 +7 9 Miss Tango 2 52.0 9 99.99 0.0 69 66 66 -3 99 Ashanti Sword 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Rattle Bag 6 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Letha 3 55.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quantum | 74 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Que Ceu Azul | 82 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Prairie Falcon Line | 73 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Mamaquera | 67 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Angel's Wish | 64 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Speechmaker | 64 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Whatyouwaitingfor | 85 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Twice As Wild | 60 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Miss Tango | 69 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ashanti Sword | - | 52 | 72 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rattle Bag | - | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Letha | - | 66 | 63 | +3 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points