Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Second Base
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Saxon 3 58.0 1 0.00 7.0 114 102 102 -12 2 Castletown 3 54.0 2 1.25 7.0 104 98 98 -6 3 Second Base 4 58.0 3 1.30 3.5 112 112 112 +0 4 Perfect Witness 3 50.5 4 1.50 7.0 104 90 94 -10 5 ExpressFromTheUS 5 50.0 5 2.25 0.0 95 103 103 +8 6 Imperial Ruby 5 56.0 6 5.50 0.0 107 112 112 +5 7 Sovereign Spirit 6 56.0 7 5.75 0.0 108 112 112 +4 99 Astrix 5 62.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 124 124 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Saxon | 114 | 116 | 102 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Castletown | 104 | 90 | 98 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Second Base Line | 112 | 99 | 112 | -13 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Perfect Witness | 104 | 105 | 94 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | ExpressFromTheUS | 95 | 98 | 103 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Imperial Ruby | 107 | 105 | 112 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sovereign Spirit | 108 | 106 | 112 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Astrix | - | 118 | 124 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points